Ellwood City, PA — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Pennsylvania·Ellwood City

Lawrence County · New Castle · population 7,416

AffordabilityShrinkingSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
52
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Ellwood City stands

Population shrinking 0.7% per year.

Median home $155,826
1-year -1.3%
5-yr CAGR +2.9%
vs 5-yr peak -2.2%
Population -0.7%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2024-06$156k$91k$116k$141k$166k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
10/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
51/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 10.9
Buy

At a 10.9 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Ellwood City on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 10.9 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
43 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
52 · w22%
Distance from peak
77 · w18%
Population growth
34 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
59 · w10%
Long thesis

Ellwood City has held up across the cycle: home values at $155,826 with +2.9% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Ellwood City's population is shrinking 0.7% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — if people are leaving, the buyer pool is shrinking faster than the inventory. That eventually shows up in price.

About Ellwood City

Ellwood City is a city in Lawrence County, Pennsylvania, with an estimated population of 7,416. It anchors the New Castle metro area. The population has contracted 0.7% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Ellwood City is $155,826 as of 2026-04, down 1.3% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +2.9% annual growth (-2.2% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Ellwood City average $1,195 per month. The composite momentum score is 52 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Held the highs: currently -2.2% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.
Cheap entry point: $155,826 median home is well below the US median of $355k — room to grow without overpaying.

Bear case

Flat or shrinking population: -0.7% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — verify the source.
Thin housing market: small population means fewer transactions and slower resale. Liquidity risk on exit.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Lawrence County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Lawrence County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Ellwood City

1 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Ellport$154,955-1.2%

Cities like Ellwood City

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
36° / 21°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
83° / 63°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
186
~51% of year
Annual precip
42″ rain
30″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Low
Tornado
Low
Wildfire
Very low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Ellwood City listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the New Castle area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
71%
Humid climate
Median household income
$73,800
Pennsylvania state median
Top industries (state-level)
Healthcare (Pittsburgh)Finance (Philly)Manufacturing

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

Cities similar to Ellwood City

Explore other places with comparable momentum or affordability.

See all Pennsylvania cities →    Browse best-of lists →