Bartlett, TN — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Tennessee·Bartlett

Shelby County · Memphis · population 56,708

Image: Wikipedia · Bartlett, Tennessee

Overview Cost of living Moving guide

View watchlist →

Stable

Momentum score · 0–100

Where Bartlett stands

At or near all-time high.

Median home $323,417

1-year -0.7%

5-yr CAGR +4.3%

vs 5-yr peak -1.8%

Population -0.5%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly

Lifestyle scores

🚶

Walkability

40/100

Car-dependent

Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.

🚉

Public transit

22/100

Transit limited

Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.

💻

Remote work fit

95/100

Excellent for remote work

Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 14.3

Buy

At a 14.3 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Bartlett on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 14.3 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →

Home YoY

47 · w22%

Home 5-yr CAGR

61 · w22%

Distance from peak

79 · w18%

Population growth

38 · w16%

Rent YoY

54 · w12%

Home 10-yr CAGR

72 · w10%

Long thesis

Bartlett has held up across the cycle: home values at $323,417 with +4.3% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Bartlett's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Bartlett

Bartlett is a city in Shelby County, Tennessee, with an estimated population of 56,708. It anchors the Memphis metro area. The median home value in Bartlett is $323,417 as of 2026-04, down 0.7% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.3% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Bartlett average $1,884 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+1.4%). The composite momentum score is 58 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

●Held the highs: currently -1.8% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.

○The data is the data: Bartlett has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

●Flat or shrinking population: -0.5% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — verify the source.

○Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Bartlett (Wikipedia)

Bartlett is a city in Shelby County, Tennessee, United States. The population was 57,786 at the 2020 census, and was estimated at 56,708 in 2024, making it the 14th-most populous city in Tennessee.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

MayorDavid Parsons

Area32.652 sq mi

Elevation322 ft

Founded1829

Densityauto/sq mi

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Shelby County right now.

NWS active alerts (TN)Tennessee Emergency Management How to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Shelby County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Bartlett

26 tracked · ranked by median home value

1Davies Plantation$480,721-1.1%

2Bartlett Country$443,497+0.8%

3Gailyn Manor Estates$431,912-1.1%

4Hunter's Walk$418,884-1.9%

5Oak Road Estates$408,527+2.4%

6Bluffs of Winding Oaks$393,042-1.4%

7Ravencrest$392,270-0.1%

8Windsor Valley$387,732-1.1%

9Rivercrest$372,519-1.5%

10Rockyford$363,720-2.8%

11Wolf Forest Farms$349,486-3.3%

12Country Meadows$339,334-0.7%

13Bartlett Ridge$324,351-2.8%

14Daybreak$319,594-1.4%

15Ellendale$312,263+1.7%

16Bartlett Woodlands East$294,271+1.4%

17Oak Road Meadows$292,543+1.0%

18Garden Meadows$284,446+0.9%

19Historic Bartlett$271,754+1.6%

20Bartlett Estates$266,011-0.1%

21Elmore Park$263,285+0.9%

22Bartlett Woods$257,758+0.6%

23Cherry Valley$255,805-1.5%

24Easthill$249,962-1.4%

See the full neighborhood ranking →

Cities like Bartlett

Germantown, TN55 · Stable Collierville, TN55 · Stable Goodlettsville, TN58 · Stable Dyersburg, TN52 · Stable

Run the numbers for Bartlett

ToolCan I afford Bartlett?Income → city shortlist ToolROI on a Bartlett rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCR ToolCompare Bartlett to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 cities ToolBartlett cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)

47° / 28°

avg high / low

Summer (Jul)

88° / 68°

avg high / low

Sunny days/yr

207

~57% of year

Annual precip

54″ rain

5″ snow

Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)

Hurricane

Very low

Tornado

High

Wildfire

Low

Earthquake

Moderate

Flood

Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Memphis area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

NBAMemphis Grizzlies →

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Bartlett listings on the major real-estate sites.

For rent

Zillow rentals → Apartments.com → Trulia rentals →

For sale

Zillow for sale → Realtor.com →

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Latest news

Driver charged with DUI after striking child, crossing guard near elementary school in Bartlett, police say
FOX13 Memphis · 5d ago
Myrtie Bonita Bobango Obituary (2026) – Bartlett, TN – The Daily Memphian
Legacy · 1d ago
Police: Driver charged with DUI after crash injures crossing guard, child in Bartlett
Action News 5 · 5d ago
Steven Griffin Obituary – Bartlett, TN
Dignity Memorial · 2w ago
Driver charged with DUI after Bartlett crash injured student, crossing guard
WREG.com · 6d ago
7775 Shadow Elm Ln, Bartlett, TN 38002
Realtor.com · 2w ago

Local chatter (Reddit)

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity

71%

Humid climate

Median household income

$64,700

Tennessee state median

Top industries (state-level)

HealthcareMusic/EntertainmentManufacturing

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.