Bastrop County · Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown · population 12,720
Where Bastrop stands
18% off 5-year peak. home values down 4.2% in the last year. population growing 7.0% per year.
Home value trajectory · last 10 years
Zillow ZHVI · monthlyLifestyle scores
Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.
Rent trajectory · last 5 years
Zillow ZORI · monthlyHome value vs rent · indexed to 100
Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)Rent vs buy
At a 16.4 price-to-rent ratio, Bastrop is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.
How the momentum score breaks down
methodology →Bastrop is 18% below its 5-year peak but compounded at +5.5% per year over a decade. Long-run trend is intact; you're buying through-the-cycle pricing in a market that has historically rewarded patience.
Bastrop is down 4.2% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.
About Bastrop
Bastrop is a city in Bastrop County, Texas, with an estimated population of 12,720. It anchors the Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown metro area. The population has grown 7.0% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Bastrop is $355,912 as of 2026-04, down 4.2% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +3.2% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 18% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Bastrop average $1,807 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+0.2%). The composite momentum score is 50 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.
▲ Bull case
▼ Bear case
Playbook
Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.
Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.
Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.
Local safety & alerts
No active National Weather Service alerts for Bastrop County right now.
Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Bastrop County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.
Cities like Bastrop
Run the numbers for Bastrop
Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.
Climate & natural-disaster risk
State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.
Current weather
Find rentals & listings
Open current Bastrop listings on the major real-estate sites.
Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.
Local sports teams
Major professional teams the Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.
Local economy & environment
Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.
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