Celina, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Celina

Collin County · Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington · population 51,661

Bargain huntersGrowing fastRenter-friendly
Celina, TX
Image: Wikipedia · Celina, Texas
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
View watchlist →
45
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Celina stands

15% off 5-year peak. home values down 9.8% in the last year. population growing 32.5% per year.

Median home $548,646
1-year -9.8%
5-yr CAGR +5.3%
vs 5-yr peak -15.2%
Population +32.5%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-07$549k$304k$427k$550k$673k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
87/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,767/mo$1,614$1,835$2,056202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent10299100120202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 25.9
Rent

At a 25.9 price-to-rent ratio, renting beats buying in Celina for most shorter holds. The premium you pay to own would take many years of rent savings to recoup, and that's before maintenance, taxes, and opportunity cost on the down payment.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
6 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
66 · w22%
Distance from peak
30 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Rent YoY
25 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
63 · w10%
Long thesis

Celina is 15% below its 5-year peak but compounded at +5.2% per year over a decade. Long-run trend is intact; you're buying through-the-cycle pricing in a market that has historically rewarded patience.

Short thesis

Celina is down 9.8% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About Celina

Celina is a city in Collin County, Texas, with an estimated population of 51,661. It anchors the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington metro area. The population has grown 32.5% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Celina is $548,646 as of 2026-04, down 9.8% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +5.3% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 15% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Celina average $1,767 per month, down 3.9% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 45 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

▲ Bull case

●People are voting with their feet: population growing 32.5% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
●Reset opportunity: 15% off recent peak but +5.2% annualized over 10 years — long-run trend is up even if the last year wasn’t.
●Healthy 5-year run: +5.3% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.

▼ Bear case

●Prices actively falling: down 9.8% in the last 12 months — buyer sentiment has flipped. Sellers competing on price.
●15% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.

About Celina (Wikipedia)

Celina is a city in Collin and Denton counties in the U.S. state of Texas. Celina is part of the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

Area48.216 sq mi
Elevation673 ft
Established1876
Density891.0/sq mi
Named forCelina, Tennessee

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Collin County right now.

NWS active alerts (TX)Texas Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Collin County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Celina

2 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Mustang Lakes$791,056-2.0%
2Lilyana$597,528-9.4%

Cities like Celina

Liberty Hill, TX44 · CoolingFulshear, TX63 · RisingPrinceton, TX39 · CoolingDripping Springs, TX51 · Stable

Run the numbers for Celina

ToolCan I afford Celina?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Celina rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Celina to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolCelina cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Celina listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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