San Marcos, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·San Marcos

Hays County · Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown · population 74,316

Bargain huntersGrowing fast
San Marcos, TX
Image: Wikipedia · San Marcos, Texas
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45
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where San Marcos stands

20% off 5-year peak. home values down 4.4% in the last year. population growing 2.4% per year.

Median home $313,452
1-year -4.4%
5-yr CAGR +1.3%
vs 5-yr peak -20.4%
Population +2.4%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-07$313k$193k$265k$337k$409k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
35/100
Car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
93/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,416/mo$1,144$1,370$1,596202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent107116100120202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 18.4
Lean buy

At a 18.4 price-to-rent ratio, San Marcos is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
28 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
43 · w22%
Distance from peak
23 · w18%
Population growth
84 · w16%
Rent YoY
50 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
56 · w10%
Long thesis

San Marcos has held up across the cycle: home values at $313,452 with +1.3% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

San Marcos has given back 20% from its 5-year peak — that's not a healthy correction, it's a market still digesting an overshoot. The bear case is that the floor hasn't been found yet.

About San Marcos

San Marcos is a city in Hays County, Texas, with an estimated population of 74,316. It anchors the Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown metro area. The population has grown 2.4% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in San Marcos is $313,452 as of 2026-04, down 4.4% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +1.3% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 20% below its 5-year peak. Rents in San Marcos average $1,416 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+0.7%). The composite momentum score is 45 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

Bull case

People are voting with their feet: population growing 2.4% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
The data is the data: San Marcos has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

20% off the 5-year peak. That’s not a healthy correction — that’s a market that ran too far and is still digesting.
Cooling: -4.4% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.

About San Marcos (Wikipedia)

San Marcos is a city in and the county seat of Hays County, Texas, United States. The city is mostly a part of the Greater Austin Metropolitan Area. San Marcos's limits extend into Caldwell and Guadalupe counties, as well. The latter is part of the Greater San Antonio Metropolitan Area. San Marcos is on the Interstate 35 corridor between Austin and San Antonio. Its population was 44,894 at the 2010 census and 67,553 at the 2020 census. Founded on the banks of the San Marcos River, the area is thought to be among the oldest continuously inhabited sites in the Americas. San Marcos is home to Texas State University and the Meadows Center for Water and the Environment.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

Area35.71 sq mi
Elevation574 ft
Incorporated1851
NicknameSan Marvelous
Density1820.01/sq mi

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it. San Marcos is currently 20% off its 5-year peak — historically, that's been the discount tier of this market.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Hays County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Hays County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of San Marcos

19 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Willow Creek$584,659-2.0%
2Sierra Circle$452,587-4.2%
3Hunter's Hill$373,256-10.2%
4Tanglewood$358,801-0.9%
5Hughson Heights$339,648-6.8%
6Heritage$316,716-2.1%
7Oak Heights$316,551-2.6%
8Castle Forest$296,453-5.3%
9Holland Hills$292,863-1.5%
10Sessom Creek$290,131-1.3%
11Southwest Hills$279,510-8.3%
12Cottonwood Creek$267,044-7.4%
13Westover$263,576-1.9%
14El Camino Real$243,060-10.3%
15Hills of Hays$242,328-7.4%
16Dunbar$241,649-5.8%
17Blanco River North$237,495-6.0%
18Rio Vista$229,331-4.0%
19Blanco Gardens$226,283-5.3%

Cities like San Marcos

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current San Marcos listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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