Flower Mound, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Flower Mound

Denton County · Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington · population 79,990

Image: Wikipedia · Flower Mound, Texas

Overview Cost of living Moving guide

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Stable

Momentum score · 0–100

Where Flower Mound stands

Steady, no major recent move.

Median home $615,137

1-year -2.5%

5-yr CAGR +5.7%

vs 5-yr peak -3.3%

Population +1.3%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly

Lifestyle scores

🚶

Walkability

35/100

Car-dependent

Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.

🚉

Public transit

22/100

Transit limited

Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.

💻

Remote work fit

83/100

Excellent for remote work

Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 22.5

Lean rent

At a 22.5 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in Flower Mound. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →

Home YoY

38 · w22%

Home 5-yr CAGR

68 · w22%

Distance from peak

70 · w18%

Population growth

70 · w16%

Rent YoY

58 · w12%

Home 10-yr CAGR

65 · w10%

Long thesis

Flower Mound has held up across the cycle: home values at $615,137 with +5.7% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Flower Mound's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Flower Mound

Flower Mound is a city in Denton County, Texas, with an estimated population of 79,990. It anchors the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington metro area. The population grew 1.3% annually from 2020 to 2024, a moderate gain. The median home value in Flower Mound is $615,137 as of 2026-04, down 2.5% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +5.7% annual growth (-3.3% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Flower Mound average $2,277 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+2.0%). The composite momentum score is 60 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

●Healthy 5-year run: +5.7% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.

●Net positive migration: population up 1.3% per year — demand fundamentals are intact.

▼ Bear case

●Cooling: -2.5% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.

○Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Flower Mound (Wikipedia)

Flower Mound is an incorporated town located in Denton and Tarrant counties in the U.S. state of Texas. Located northwest of Dallas and northeast of Fort Worth adjacent to Grapevine Lake, the town derives its name from a prominent 12.5-acre (5.1 ha) mound located in the center of town.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

Area44.48 sq mi

Elevation604 ft

Density1810.20/sq mi

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Denton County right now.

NWS active alerts (TX)Texas Emergency Management How to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Denton County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Flower Mound

19 tracked · ranked by median home value

1Wichita Chase$916,943+0.7%

2Bridlewood$855,254-1.4%

3Stafford Estates$749,083-3.0%

4Waterford Park$733,551-2.7%

5Lakeview Estates$709,873-2.8%

6Wellington$679,159-2.2%

7Villages of Northshore$669,185-1.1%

8Chaucer Estates$619,419-0.5%

9Glenwick Estates$618,280-2.1%

10Stone Hills Farms$606,238-1.3%

11Rustic Timbers$603,768-2.0%

12Pecan Acres$562,794-3.7%

13Sherwood Estates$550,327-3.0%

14Stone Creek$535,129-4.2%

15Lake Forest$482,172-4.0%

16Timberview Estates$471,005-1.2%

17Westchester$391,174-5.0%

18Timber Creek$385,099-4.6%

19Prairie Creek$373,394-2.1%

Cities like Flower Mound

Missouri City, TX57 · Stable Pharr, TX59 · Stable Tyler, TX64 · Rising Gainesville, TX64 · Rising

Run the numbers for Flower Mound

ToolCan I afford Flower Mound?Income → city shortlist ToolROI on a Flower Mound rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCR ToolCompare Flower Mound to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 cities ToolFlower Mound cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)

60° / 39°

avg high / low

Summer (Jul)

95° / 73°

avg high / low

Sunny days/yr

232

~64% of year

Annual precip

29″ rain

1″ snow

Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)

Hurricane

High

Tornado

Very high

Wildfire

Moderate

Earthquake

Low

Flood

Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

NFLDallas Cowboys →

NBADallas Mavericks →

MLBTexas Rangers →

NHLDallas Stars →

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Flower Mound listings on the major real-estate sites.

For rent

Zillow rentals → Apartments.com → Trulia rentals →

For sale

Zillow for sale → Realtor.com →

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Latest news

Flower Mound FD quickly contains house fire
Cross Timbers Gazette · 1d ago
Flower Mound police investigate middle school teacher over unauthorized student photos
NBC 5 Dallas-Fort Worth · 5d ago
North Texas cities earn top ranks in national poll
WFAA · 4h ago
Odell Starling Sluder Obituary (2026) – Flower Mound, TX – Groce Funeral Home & Cremation Services- Lake Julian
Legacy · 7h ago
These Texas cities are among the best places to live in the US
Times Record News · 10h ago
U.S. News report of best places to live in the U.S. dominated by Dallas-area suburbs, including best city in Texas
Secret Dallas · 13h ago

Local chatter (Reddit)

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity

64%

Moderate climate

Median household income

$73,000

Texas state median

Top industries (state-level)

Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.