Hillsboro, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Hillsboro

Hill County · population 8,878

First-time buyersSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
61
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Hillsboro stands

Home values down 3.9% in the last year.

Median home $205,991
1-year -3.9%
5-yr CAGR +5.5%
vs 5-yr peak -4.7%
Population +1.9%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2025-02$206k$84k$131k$178k$225k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
10/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
78/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 16.1
Lean buy

At a 16.1 price-to-rent ratio, Hillsboro is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
30 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
67 · w22%
Distance from peak
62 · w18%
Population growth
79 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
83 · w10%
Long thesis

Hillsboro has held up across the cycle: home values at $205,991 with +5.5% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Hillsboro's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Hillsboro

Hillsboro is a city in Hill County, Texas, with an estimated population of 8,878. The population grew 1.9% annually from 2020 to 2024, a moderate gain. The median home value in Hillsboro is $205,991 as of 2026-04, down 3.9% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +5.5% annual growth (-4.7% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Hillsboro average $1,064 per month. The composite momentum score is 61 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Healthy 5-year run: +5.5% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
Net positive migration: population up 1.9% per year — demand fundamentals are intact.

Bear case

Cooling: -3.9% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Hill County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Hill County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Hillsboro

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Hillsboro listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Dallas area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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