What to know before you move: cost, market timing, who it fits.
If you're considering a move to Lockhart, TX, the most important variables are the local housing market, the cost structure (taxes, insurance, utilities), and how well the city fits your day-to-day life. This page summarizes the housing market read; pair it with the cost of living page for the full picture.
Lockhart is a city in Caldwell County, Texas, with an estimated population of 17,166. It anchors the Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown metro area. The population has grown 4.5% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Lockhart is $279,218 as of 2026-04, down 6.5% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +2.5% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 19% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Lockhart average $1,657 per month. The composite momentum score is 47 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.
Prices have come off recent highs (-18.7% from peak). Buyers may have more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.
Reasons people move here
- People are voting with their feet: population growing 4.5% per year since 2020 — that's faster than ~80% of US cities.
- Reset opportunity: 19% off recent peak but +6.3% annualized over 10 years — long-run trend is up even if the last year wasn't.
Things to know first
- Prices actively falling: down 6.5% in the last 12 months — buyer sentiment has flipped. Sellers competing on price.
- 19% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.
More about Lockhart
Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.