Caldwell County · Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown · population 17,166
Where Lockhart stands
19% off 5-year peak. home values down 6.5% in the last year. population growing 4.5% per year.
Home value trajectory · last 10 years
Zillow ZHVI · monthlyLifestyle scores
Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.
Rent vs buy
At a 14.0 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Lockhart on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 14.0 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.
How the momentum score breaks down
methodology →Lockhart is 19% below its 5-year peak but compounded at +6.3% per year over a decade. Long-run trend is intact; you're buying through-the-cycle pricing in a market that has historically rewarded patience.
Lockhart is down 6.5% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.
About Lockhart
Lockhart is a city in Caldwell County, Texas, with an estimated population of 17,166. It anchors the Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown metro area. The population has grown 4.5% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Lockhart is $279,218 as of 2026-04, down 6.5% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +2.5% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 19% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Lockhart average $1,657 per month. The composite momentum score is 47 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.
▲ Bull case
▼ Bear case
Playbook
You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it.
Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.
Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.
Local safety & alerts
No active National Weather Service alerts for Caldwell County right now.
Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Caldwell County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.
Cities like Lockhart
Run the numbers for Lockhart
Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.
Climate & natural-disaster risk
State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.
Current weather
Find rentals & listings
Open current Lockhart listings on the major real-estate sites.
Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.
Local sports teams
Major professional teams the Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.
Local economy & environment
Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.
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