Manvel, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Manvel

Brazoria County · Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land · population 19,309

Growing fastSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
60
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Manvel stands

Home values down 3.1% in the last year. population growing 17.9% per year.

Median home $445,313
1-year -3.1%
5-yr CAGR +3.9%
vs 5-yr peak -3.3%
Population +17.9%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2025-03$445k$286k$350k$415k$479k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
91/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,780/mo$0$943$1,88620242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent991088010020242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 20.9
Lean rent

At a 20.9 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in Manvel. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
34 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
58 · w22%
Distance from peak
70 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Rent YoY
62 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
52 · w10%
Long thesis

Manvel has held up across the cycle: home values at $445,313 with +3.9% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Manvel's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Manvel

Manvel is a city in Brazoria County, Texas, with an estimated population of 19,309. It anchors the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land metro area. The population has grown 17.9% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Manvel is $445,313 as of 2026-04, down 3.1% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +3.9% annual growth (-3.3% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Manvel average $1,780 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+2.5%). The composite momentum score is 60 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

People are voting with their feet: population growing 17.9% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
The data is the data: Manvel has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Cooling: -3.1% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Brazoria County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Brazoria County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Manvel

8 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Sedona Lakes$549,836-3.2%
2Pomona$529,086-2.5%
3Silvercreek$501,447-2.4%
4Lakeland$453,304-4.5%
5Southfork$391,464-0.3%
6Leedy Estates$374,792-1.7%
7Stonebridge$370,476-1.3%
8Rodeo Palms$311,268-1.2%

Cities like Manvel

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Manvel listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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