Monahans, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Monahans

Winkler County · population 7,334

AffordabilityBargain huntersShrinkingSmall-town feel
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
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32
Declining
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Monahans stands

21% off 5-year peak. population shrinking 1.6% per year.

Median home $191,306
1-year +2.1%
5-yr CAGR -3.0%
vs 5-yr peak -21.0%
Population -1.6%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-01$191k$134k$173k$213k$252k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
10/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
53/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
60 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
17 · w22%
Distance from peak
22 · w18%
Population growth
20 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
38 · w10%
Long thesis

Monahans is 21% off its 5-year peak and turning back up (+2.1% in the last year). Classic 'bought back the dip' setup — risk is that the trend reverses, reward is that it doesn't and you got in early.

Short thesis

Monahans has given back 21% from its 5-year peak — that's not a healthy correction, it's a market still digesting an overshoot. The bear case is that the floor hasn't been found yet.

About Monahans

Monahans is a city in Winkler County, Texas, with an estimated population of 7,334. The population has contracted 1.6% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Monahans is $191,306 as of 2026-04, up 2.1% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged -3.0% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 21% below its 5-year peak. The composite momentum score is 32 of 100 (Declining). The market is well off recent highs — patient long-term buyers may find opportunities, but resale liquidity is reduced.

▲ Bull case

●Affordable AND rising: median home $191,306 with positive recent direction — rare combination most of the country can’t offer.
●Quiet strength: +2.1% over the trailing year — not a melt-up, but the market is bid.

▼ Bear case

●21% off the 5-year peak. That’s not a healthy correction — that’s a market that ran too far and is still digesting.
●Net out-migration: population shrinking 1.6% per year — services, schools, and tax base will follow.
●Stagnant long-run trend: +1.7% 10-year CAGR plus flat population — appreciation case is weak.
○Thin housing market: small population means fewer transactions and slower resale. Liquidity risk on exit.

Playbook

Buyer

Make sure you're not catching a falling knife. Verify local fundamentals — jobs, population trend, school enrollment — before assuming the bottom is in. Negotiate hard and walk away from anything that doesn't pencil. Monahans is currently 21% off its 5-year peak — historically, that's been the discount tier of this market.

Seller

Be realistic. Below-list pricing may be required; time is not your friend. If you can wait 2-3 years for the cycle to turn, consider holding.

Investor

Cap rates can look great in Declining markets, but verify tenant pool, income stability, and exit liquidity before committing. A 10% cap on a vacant property is 0%.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Winkler County right now.

NWS active alerts (TX)Texas Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Winkler County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Monahans

Sweetwater, TX30 · DecliningVidor, TX44 · CoolingVernon, TX33 · CoolingRobstown, TX32 · Declining

Run the numbers for Monahans

ToolCan I afford Monahans?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Monahans rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Monahans to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolMonahans cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Monahans listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Dallas area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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