Sweetwater, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Sweetwater

Nolan County · Sweetwater · population 10,196

AffordabilityBargain huntersShrinkingSmall-town feel
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
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30
Declining
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Sweetwater stands

19% off 5-year peak. population shrinking 1.0% per year.

Median home $112,014
1-year +1.2%
5-yr CAGR -3.7%
vs 5-yr peak -19.2%
Population -1.0%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-08$112k$99k$114k$129k$144k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
45/100
Marginal for remote
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
56 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
13 · w22%
Distance from peak
24 · w18%
Population growth
30 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
25 · w10%
Long thesis

Sweetwater is 19% off its 5-year peak and turning back up (+1.2% in the last year). Classic 'bought back the dip' setup — risk is that the trend reverses, reward is that it doesn't and you got in early.

Short thesis

Sweetwater's population is shrinking 1.0% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — if people are leaving, the buyer pool is shrinking faster than the inventory. That eventually shows up in price.

About Sweetwater

Sweetwater is a city in Nolan County, Texas, with an estimated population of 10,196. The population has contracted 1.0% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Sweetwater is $112,014 as of 2026-04, up 1.2% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged -3.7% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 19% below its 5-year peak. The composite momentum score is 30 of 100 (Declining). The market is well off recent highs — patient long-term buyers may find opportunities, but resale liquidity is reduced.

▲ Bull case

●Cheap entry point: $112,014 median home is well below the US median of $355k — room to grow without overpaying.
○The data is the data: Sweetwater has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

●Net out-migration: population shrinking 1.0% per year — services, schools, and tax base will follow.
●19% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.
●Stagnant long-run trend: -0.5% 10-year CAGR plus flat population — appreciation case is weak.
○Thin housing market: small population means fewer transactions and slower resale. Liquidity risk on exit.

Playbook

Buyer

Make sure you're not catching a falling knife. Verify local fundamentals — jobs, population trend, school enrollment — before assuming the bottom is in. Negotiate hard and walk away from anything that doesn't pencil.

Seller

Be realistic. Below-list pricing may be required; time is not your friend. If you can wait 2-3 years for the cycle to turn, consider holding.

Investor

Cap rates can look great in Declining markets, but verify tenant pool, income stability, and exit liquidity before committing. A 10% cap on a vacant property is 0%.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Nolan County right now.

NWS active alerts (TX)Texas Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Nolan County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Sweetwater

Monahans, TX32 · DecliningRobstown, TX32 · DecliningVernon, TX33 · CoolingVidor, TX44 · Cooling

Run the numbers for Sweetwater

ToolCan I afford Sweetwater?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Sweetwater rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Sweetwater to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolSweetwater cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Sweetwater listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Sweetwater area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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