Seguin, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Seguin

Guadalupe County · San Antonio-New Braunfels · population 38,789

First-time buyersGrowing fast
Seguin, TX
Image: Wikipedia · Seguin, Texas
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
View watchlist →
55
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Seguin stands

Population growing 7.1% per year.

Median home $274,806
1-year -2.1%
5-yr CAGR +2.0%
vs 5-yr peak -10.7%
Population +7.1%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-07$275k$172k$222k$271k$320k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
100/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,518/mo$0$821$1,643202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent9210080100202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 15.1
Lean buy

At a 15.1 price-to-rent ratio, Seguin is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
40 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
47 · w22%
Distance from peak
43 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Rent YoY
68 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
54 · w10%
Long thesis

Seguin has held up across the cycle: home values at $274,806 with +2.0% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Seguin's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Seguin

Seguin is a city in Guadalupe County, Texas, with an estimated population of 38,789. It anchors the San Antonio-New Braunfels metro area. The population has grown 7.1% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Seguin is $274,806 as of 2026-04, down 2.1% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +2.0% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 11% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Seguin average $1,518 per month, up 3.5% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 55 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

●People are voting with their feet: population growing 7.1% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
○The data is the data: Seguin has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

●Cooling: -2.1% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
●11% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.

About Seguin (Wikipedia)

Seguin is a city in and the county seat of Guadalupe County, Texas, United States. Its population was 29,433 at the 2020 census, and according to 2023 census estimates, the city had a population of 36,013.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Guadalupe County right now.

NWS active alerts (TX)Texas Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Guadalupe County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Seguin

New Braunfels, TX47 · CoolingMarble Falls, TX51 · StableConroe, TX58 · StableTerrell, TX65 · Rising

Run the numbers for Seguin

ToolCan I afford Seguin?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Seguin rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Seguin to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolSeguin cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the San Antonio-New Braunfels area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Seguin listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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