Cibolo, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Cibolo

Guadalupe County · San Antonio-New Braunfels · population 37,816

Growing fast
Cibolo, TX
Image: Wikipedia · Cibolo, Texas
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
View watchlist →
55
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Cibolo stands

Population growing 4.0% per year.

Median home $335,347
1-year -1.2%
5-yr CAGR +2.9%
vs 5-yr peak -9.8%
Population +4.0%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-08$335k$219k$275k$331k$387k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
100/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,649/mo$1,433$1,598$1,763202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent96108100202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 16.9
Lean buy

At a 16.9 price-to-rent ratio, Cibolo is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
44 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
52 · w22%
Distance from peak
46 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Rent YoY
50 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
51 · w10%
Long thesis

Cibolo has held up across the cycle: home values at $335,347 with +2.9% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Cibolo's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Cibolo

Cibolo is a city in Guadalupe County, Texas, with an estimated population of 37,816. It anchors the San Antonio-New Braunfels metro area. The population has grown 4.0% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Cibolo is $335,347 as of 2026-04, down 1.2% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +2.9% annual growth (-9.8% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Cibolo average $1,649 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+0.7%). The composite momentum score is 55 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

●People are voting with their feet: population growing 4.0% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
○The data is the data: Cibolo has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

○Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Cibolo (Wikipedia)

Cibolo is a city in Guadalupe and Bexar counties in Texas, United States. It is part of the San Antonio–New Braunfels metropolitan statistical area. Cibolo voted to become an independent township on October 9, 1965. Cibolo is in a region settled primarily by German emigrants in the mid-1800s. As of the 2020 census, Cibolo had a population of 32,276, up from 15,349 at the 2010 census.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Guadalupe County right now.

NWS active alerts (TX)Texas Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Guadalupe County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Cibolo

Brenham, TX61 · StableEnnis, TX64 · RisingBurleson, TX60 · StableWaxahachie, TX61 · Stable

Run the numbers for Cibolo

ToolCan I afford Cibolo?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Cibolo rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Cibolo to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolCibolo cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the San Antonio-New Braunfels area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Cibolo listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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