Van Alstyne, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Van Alstyne

Grayson County · Sherman-Denison · population 7,220

Growing fastSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
64
Rising
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Van Alstyne stands

Population growing 13.4% per year.

Median home $434,545
1-year -3.0%
5-yr CAGR +4.9%
vs 5-yr peak -3.5%
Population +13.4%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-08$435k$209k$295k$382k$468k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
10/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
75/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 16.2
Lean buy

At a 16.2 price-to-rent ratio, Van Alstyne is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
35 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
65 · w22%
Distance from peak
69 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
73 · w10%
Long thesis

Van Alstyne has held up across the cycle: home values at $434,545 with +4.9% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Van Alstyne's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Van Alstyne

Van Alstyne is a city in Grayson County, Texas, with an estimated population of 7,220. It anchors the Sherman-Denison metro area. The population has grown 13.4% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Van Alstyne is $434,545 as of 2026-04, down 3.0% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.9% annual growth (-3.5% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Van Alstyne average $2,234 per month. The composite momentum score is 64 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

Bull case

People are voting with their feet: population growing 13.4% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
The data is the data: Van Alstyne has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Cooling: -3.0% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Grayson County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Grayson County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Van Alstyne

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Van Alstyne listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Sherman-Denison area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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