Vineyard, UT — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Utah·Vineyard

Utah County · Provo-Orem · population 16,077

Growing fastSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
61
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Vineyard stands

Population growing 6.4% per year.

Median home $530,057
1-year +1.6%
5-yr CAGR +3.3%
vs 5-yr peak -8.7%
Population +6.4%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-07$530k$269k$380k$492k$604k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
83/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,775/mo$1,589$1,757$1,92520242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent10210310020242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 24.9
Lean rent

At a 24.9 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in Vineyard. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
58 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
55 · w22%
Distance from peak
49 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Rent YoY
48 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
69 · w10%
Long thesis

Vineyard has held up across the cycle: home values at $530,057 with +3.3% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Vineyard's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Vineyard

Vineyard is a city in Utah County, Utah, with an estimated population of 16,077. It anchors the Provo-Orem metro area. The population has grown 6.4% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Vineyard is $530,057 as of 2026-04, up 1.6% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +3.3% annual growth (-8.7% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Vineyard average $1,775 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+0.5%). The composite momentum score is 61 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

People are voting with their feet: population growing 6.4% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
The data is the data: Vineyard has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Utah County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Utah County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Vineyard

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
36° / 20°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
92° / 64°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
226
~62% of year
Annual precip
12″ rain
53″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
High
Earthquake
Moderate
Flood
Low

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Vineyard listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Provo-Orem area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
51%
Dry climate
Median household income
$89,100
Utah state median
Top industries (state-level)
Tech (SL Valley)HealthcareTourism

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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