Bristol, VA — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Bristol city · Kingsport-Bristol · population 16,316

First-time buyersInvestorsShrinkingSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
62
Rising
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Bristol stands

At or near all-time high. averaging 7.6% annual growth over 5 years. population shrinking 1.3% per year.

Median home $204,956
1-year -0.4%
5-yr CAGR +7.6%
vs 5-yr peak -0.6%
Population -1.3%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2025-02$205k$97k$136k$175k$214k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
72/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 12.3
Buy

At a 12.3 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Bristol on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 12.3 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
48 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
77 · w22%
Distance from peak
86 · w18%
Population growth
25 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
74 · w10%
Long thesis

Bristol has held up across the cycle: home values at $204,956 with +7.6% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Bristol's population is shrinking 1.3% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — if people are leaving, the buyer pool is shrinking faster than the inventory. That eventually shows up in price.

About Bristol

Bristol is a city in Bristol city, Virginia, with an estimated population of 16,316. It anchors the Kingsport-Bristol metro area. The population has contracted 1.3% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Bristol is $204,956 as of 2026-04, down 0.4% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +7.6% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Bristol average $1,390 per month. The composite momentum score is 62 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

Bull case

Healthy 5-year run: +7.6% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
Held the highs: currently -0.6% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.

Bear case

Net out-migration: population shrinking 1.3% per year — services, schools, and tax base will follow.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Bristol city right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Bristol city routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Bristol

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
47° / 27°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
87° / 65°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
205
~56% of year
Annual precip
44″ rain
14″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Moderate
Tornado
Low
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Bristol listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Kingsport-Bristol area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
70%
Humid climate
Median household income
$87,200
Virginia state median
Top industries (state-level)
Government/DefenseTech (NoVa)Shipbuilding

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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