Manassas, VA — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Virginia·Manassas

Manassas city · Washington-Arlington-Alexandria · population 43,616

Manassas, VA
Image: Wikipedia · Manassas, Virginia
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
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62
Rising
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Manassas stands

At or near all-time high.

Median home $558,674
1-year +0.1%
5-yr CAGR +4.5%
vs 5-yr peak -0.6%
Population +0.5%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2026-01$559k$305k$398k$491k$584k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
76/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,151/mo$1,485$1,882$2,280202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent125136100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 21.6
Lean rent

At a 21.6 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in Manassas. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
50 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
62 · w22%
Distance from peak
86 · w18%
Population growth
55 · w16%
Rent YoY
57 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
64 · w10%
Long thesis

Manassas has held up across the cycle: home values at $558,674 with +4.5% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Manassas's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Manassas

Manassas is a city in Manassas city, Virginia, with an estimated population of 43,616. It anchors the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area. The median home value in Manassas is $558,674 as of 2026-04, up 0.1% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.5% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Manassas average $2,151 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+1.8%). The composite momentum score is 62 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

▲ Bull case

●Held the highs: currently -0.6% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.
○The data is the data: Manassas has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

○Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Manassas (Wikipedia)

Manassas, formerly Manassas Junction, is an independent city in the Commonwealth of Virginia, United States. The population was 42,772 at the 2020 Census. It is the county seat of Prince William County, although the two are separate jurisdictions. Manassas borders the independent city of Manassas Park. The Bureau of Economic Analysis includes both Manassas and Manassas Park with Prince William County for statistical purposes.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Manassas city right now.

NWS active alerts (VA)Virginia Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Manassas city routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Manassas

5 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Loch Lomond$502,501+0.6%
2Yorkshire$494,472-0.2%
3Sudley$466,245+1.1%
4West Gate$463,868+0.8%
5Bull Run$417,572+0.9%

Cities like Manassas

Fredericksburg, VA67 · RisingCharlottesville, VA60 · StableVienna, VA60 · StableLeesburg, VA65 · Rising

Run the numbers for Manassas

ToolCan I afford Manassas?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Manassas rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Manassas to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolManassas cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
47° / 27°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
87° / 65°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
205
~56% of year
Annual precip
44″ rain
14″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Moderate
Tornado
Low
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Manassas listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
70%
Humid climate
Median household income
$87,200
Virginia state median
Top industries (state-level)
Government/DefenseTech (NoVa)Shipbuilding

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

Cities similar to Manassas

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