Fredericksburg city · Washington-Arlington-Alexandria · population 29,992
Where Fredericksburg stands
At or near all-time high.
Home value trajectory · last 10 years
Zillow ZHVI · monthlyLifestyle scores
Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.
Rent trajectory · last 5 years
Zillow ZORI · monthlyHome value vs rent · indexed to 100
Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)Rent vs buy
At a 20.1 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in Fredericksburg. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.
How the momentum score breaks down
methodology →Fredericksburg has held up across the cycle: home values at $485,014 with +5.0% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.
Fredericksburg's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.
About Fredericksburg
Fredericksburg is a city in Fredericksburg city, Virginia, with an estimated population of 29,992. It anchors the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area. The population grew 1.7% annually from 2020 to 2024, a moderate gain. The median home value in Fredericksburg is $485,014 as of 2026-04, up 0.7% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +5.0% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Fredericksburg average $2,015 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+0.9%). The composite momentum score is 67 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.
▲ Bull case
▼ Bear case
About Fredericksburg (Wikipedia)
Fredericksburg is an independent city in Virginia, United States. The population was 27,982 at the 2020 census. It is 42 miles (67 km) south of Washington, D.C., and 53 miles (85 km) north of Richmond. The Bureau of Economic Analysis combines the city with neighboring Spotsylvania County for statistical purposes.
Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.
Playbook
You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.
Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.
Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.
Local safety & alerts
No active National Weather Service alerts for Fredericksburg city right now.
Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Fredericksburg city routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.
Neighborhoods of Fredericksburg
15 tracked · ranked by median home valueCities like Fredericksburg
Run the numbers for Fredericksburg
Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.
Climate & natural-disaster risk
State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.
Local sports teams
Major professional teams the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.
Current weather
Find rentals & listings
Open current Fredericksburg listings on the major real-estate sites.
Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.
Local news & community
Latest news
- Fredericksburg District | I-95 Southbound Closed in Caroline CountyVirginia Department of Transportation (.gov) · 11h ago
- Search for person in 'Pink Panther'-looking costume continues after case goes viralWJLA · 1h ago
- Police want the public’s help finding a potential child stalker in a Pink Panther costumeWTOP · 1d ago
- Person in pink animal costume spotted following kids in Virginia neighborhood; police asking for tipsWTVR.com · 2d ago
- Fredericksburg police search for suspect who allegedly chased kids in pink animal costumeFOX 5 DC · 3d ago
- Police search for person in pink animal costume who allegedly followed childrenWWBT · 2d ago
Local chatter (Reddit)
Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.
Local economy & environment
Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.
Cities similar to Fredericksburg
Explore other places with comparable momentum or affordability.