Apache Junction, AZ — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Arizona·Apache Junction

Pinal County · Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler · population 44,309

Growing fastRenter-friendly
Apache Junction, AZ
Image: Wikipedia · Apache Junction, Arizona
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
View watchlist →
59
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Apache Junction stands

Population growing 3.6% per year.

Median home $375,611
1-year -1.8%
5-yr CAGR +4.5%
vs 5-yr peak -9.0%
Population +3.6%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-07$376k$162k$251k$340k$429k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
96/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,719/mo$1,444$1,645$1,845202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent104111100202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 18.2
Lean buy

At a 18.2 price-to-rent ratio, Apache Junction is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
41 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
62 · w22%
Distance from peak
48 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Rent YoY
42 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
81 · w10%
Long thesis

Apache Junction has held up across the cycle: home values at $375,611 with +4.5% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Apache Junction's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Apache Junction

Apache Junction is a city in Pinal County, Arizona, with an estimated population of 44,309. It anchors the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area. The population has grown 3.6% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Apache Junction is $375,611 as of 2026-04, down 1.8% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.5% annual growth (-9.0% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Apache Junction average $1,719 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (-0.5%). The composite momentum score is 59 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

●People are voting with their feet: population growing 3.6% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
○The data is the data: Apache Junction has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

○Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Apache Junction (Wikipedia)

Apache Junction is a city in Pinal and Maricopa County, Arizona, United States. As of the 2020 census, the population was 38,499, most of whom lived in Pinal County. It is named for the junction of the Apache Trail and Old West Highway. The area where Apache Junction is located used to be known as Youngberg. Superstition Mountain, the westernmost peak of the Superstition Mountains, is to the east.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Pinal County right now.

NWS active alerts (AZ)Arizona Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Pinal County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Apache Junction

Marana, AZ63 · RisingSahuarita, AZ58 · StableSurprise, AZ54 · StableAvondale, AZ54 · Stable

Run the numbers for Apache Junction

ToolCan I afford Apache Junction?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Apache Junction rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Apache Junction to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolApache Junction cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
65° / 41°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
106° / 79°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
286
~78% of year
Annual precip
14″ rain
2″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
High
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Low

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Apache Junction listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
36%
Very dry climate
Median household income
$72,900
Arizona state median
Top industries (state-level)
HealthcareConstructionTech

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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