Gilbert, AZ — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Maricopa County · Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler · population 288,790

Renter-friendlyBig-city amenities
Gilbert, AZ
Image: Wikipedia · Gilbert, Arizona
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57
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Gilbert stands

Steady, no major recent move.

Median home $574,098
1-year -1.0%
5-yr CAGR +4.7%
vs 5-yr peak -8.1%
Population +1.9%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-07$574k$272k$398k$524k$650k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
52/100
Somewhat walkable
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
38/100
Minimal transit
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
87/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,037/mo$1,644$1,927$2,209202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent126116100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 23.5
Lean rent

At a 23.5 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in Gilbert. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
45 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
63 · w22%
Distance from peak
51 · w18%
Population growth
78 · w16%
Rent YoY
39 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
74 · w10%
Long thesis

Gilbert has held up across the cycle: home values at $574,098 with +4.7% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Gilbert's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Gilbert

Gilbert is a city in Maricopa County, Arizona, with an estimated population of 288,790. It anchors the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area. The population grew 1.9% annually from 2020 to 2024, a moderate gain. The median home value in Gilbert is $574,098 as of 2026-04, down 1.0% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.7% annual growth (-8.1% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Gilbert average $2,037 per month, down 1.3% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 57 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Net positive migration: population up 1.9% per year — demand fundamentals are intact.
The data is the data: Gilbert has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Gilbert (Wikipedia)

Gilbert is a town in Maricopa County, Arizona, United States. Located southeast of Phoenix, Gilbert had a population of 293,630 as of 2023. It is the fourth-most populous municipality in Arizona and is considered a suburb of Phoenix. Gilbert is the most populous incorporated town in the United States and has been described as the “largest town in America.”

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

Mayor Cite WebScott Anderson
Area68.86 sq mi
Elevation1237 ft
Founded1891
Motto"Gilbert: Clean, Safe, Vibrant"
Density4010/sq mi
Named forWilliam "Bobby" Gilbert

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Maricopa County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Maricopa County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Gilbert

157 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Weston Ranch$1,821,359+0.0%
2Whitewing at Higley$1,767,182+3.2%
3Calliandra Estates$1,336,559-1.8%
4Circle G Ranches$1,260,888+7.1%
5Ranchitos Verde$1,152,938+9.1%
6Stratland Shadows$1,030,054-0.4%
7Higley Estates$986,010+2.6%
8Velvendo$926,303+0.6%
9KC Ranch Estates$924,782+4.5%
10Claxton-Harvey$923,123+2.3%
11Ranchos Del Sol$921,602+3.8%
12Morrision Ranch$913,138-0.5%
13Jakes Ranch$905,750-0.3%
14Vintage Ranch$905,183+1.3%
15El Dorado Ranchos$896,238+4.8%
16Agritopia$893,121+6.1%
17Higley Manor$885,807-2.3%
18Carriage Parc Estates$874,784+3.0%
19Playa del Rey$874,080+0.4%
20Allen Ranch$796,429+1.6%
21Gilbert Commons$788,908-0.5%
22Silverstone Ranch$776,199+0.1%
23Kensington Estates$774,550-1.5%
24Artemina$764,774-0.7%

See the full neighborhood ranking →

Cities like Gilbert

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
65° / 41°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
106° / 79°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
286
~78% of year
Annual precip
14″ rain
2″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
High
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Low

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Gilbert listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
36%
Very dry climate
Median household income
$72,900
Arizona state median
Top industries (state-level)
HealthcareConstructionTech

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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