Gibsonton, FL — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Florida·Gibsonton

Hillsborough County · Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater · population 18,566

Small-town feel
View watchlist →
53
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Gibsonton stands

Home values down 5.0% in the last year. rents up 8.0% in the last year.

Median home $317,162
1-year -5.0%
5-yr CAGR +5.8%
vs 5-yr peak -13.0%

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-08$317k$148k$225k$302k$379k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
83/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,303/mo$0$1,287$2,573202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent12313980100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 11.5
Buy

At a 11.5 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Gibsonton on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 11.5 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
25 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
69 · w22%
Distance from peak
36 · w18%
Rent YoY
85 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
76 · w10%
Long thesis

Gibsonton has held up across the cycle: home values at $317,162 with +5.8% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Gibsonton is down 5.0% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About Gibsonton

Gibsonton is a city in Hillsborough County, Florida, with an estimated population of 18,566. It anchors the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater metro area. The median home value in Gibsonton is $317,162 as of 2026-04, down 5.0% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +5.8% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 13% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Gibsonton average $2,303 per month, up 8.0% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 53 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Healthy 5-year run: +5.8% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
Hot rental market: rents up 8.0% YoY — landlords have pricing power, supports new investment math.

Bear case

Cooling: -5.0% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
13% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.
Rental squeeze: rents up 8.0% YoY — tenants face tough renewals. Affordability deteriorating fast.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Hillsborough County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Hillsborough County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Gibsonton

5 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Tanglewood Preserve$335,987-6.6%
2South Bay Lakes$326,799-6.3%
3Panther Trails$326,410-4.2%
4Kings Lake$301,296-5.5%
5Gibsonton on the Bay$194,178-9.1%

Cities like Gibsonton

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
70° / 51°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
90° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
233
~64% of year
Annual precip
54″ rain
0″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very high
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Gibsonton listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
76%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$67,900
Florida state median
Top industries (state-level)
TourismHealthcareConstruction

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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