Holiday, FL — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Pasco County · Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater · population 24,939

First-time buyersSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
54
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Holiday stands

Home values down 4.2% in the last year.

Median home $222,317
1-year -4.2%
5-yr CAGR +6.3%
vs 5-yr peak -10.9%

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2024-04$222k$72k$134k$197k$259k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
83/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,708/mo$1,152$1,498$1,843202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent136139100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 10.8
Buy

At a 10.8 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Holiday on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 10.8 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
29 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
71 · w22%
Distance from peak
42 · w18%
Rent YoY
52 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
92 · w10%
Long thesis

Holiday has held up across the cycle: home values at $222,317 with +6.3% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Holiday is down 4.2% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About Holiday

Holiday is a city in Pasco County, Florida, with an estimated population of 24,939. It anchors the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater metro area. The median home value in Holiday is $222,317 as of 2026-04, down 4.2% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +6.3% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 11% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Holiday average $1,708 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+1.0%). The composite momentum score is 54 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Healthy 5-year run: +6.3% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
The data is the data: Holiday has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Cooling: -4.2% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
11% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Pasco County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Pasco County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Holiday

16 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Gulf Trace$431,427-5.5%
2Key Vista$398,311-4.5%
3Gulfwinds$346,608-5.2%
4Forest Hills East$274,830-4.3%
5Holiday Lakes West$272,665-6.8%
6La Villa Gardens$250,981-3.0%
7Aloha Gardens$238,491-3.8%
8Forest Hills$226,030-3.1%
9Dodge City$217,785-4.4%
10Holiday Lake Estates$216,279-4.7%
11Tahitian Homes$215,121-4.0%
12Crest Ridge Gardens$205,885-1.7%
13Holiday Gardens$205,331-6.9%
14Country Estates$202,892-3.7%
15Orangewood Village$199,446-6.3%
16Eastwood Acres$198,161-2.5%

Cities like Holiday

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
70° / 51°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
90° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
233
~64% of year
Annual precip
54″ rain
0″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very high
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Holiday listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
76%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$67,900
Florida state median
Top industries (state-level)
TourismHealthcareConstruction

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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