Jacksonville, FL — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Florida·Jacksonville

Duval County · Jacksonville · population 1,009,833

First-time buyersBig-city amenities
Jacksonville, FL
Image: Wikipedia · Jacksonville, Florida
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57
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Jacksonville stands

Steady, no major recent move.

Median home $286,396
1-year -2.6%
5-yr CAGR +4.7%
vs 5-yr peak -6.9%
Population +1.5%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-11$286k$133k$195k$258k$320k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
30/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
45/100
Some transit
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
86/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,589/mo$0$842$1,684202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent12612580100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 15.0
Lean buy

At a 15.0 price-to-rent ratio, Jacksonville is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
37 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
63 · w22%
Distance from peak
54 · w18%
Population growth
73 · w16%
Rent YoY
50 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
76 · w10%
Long thesis

Jacksonville is a major US metro showing +4.7% annualized appreciation with 1,009,833 residents — scale plus growth. The kind of city that doesn't need a thesis; the data has been making its own case for years.

Short thesis

Jacksonville is in a state where home insurance costs have doubled, climate risk repricing is still in progress, and the buyer pool is constrained by both. The bear case writes itself and is currently winning.

About Jacksonville

Jacksonville is a city in Duval County, Florida, with an estimated population of 1,009,833. The population grew 1.5% annually from 2020 to 2024, a moderate gain. The median home value in Jacksonville is $286,396 as of 2026-04, down 2.6% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.7% annual growth (-6.9% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Jacksonville average $1,589 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+0.7%). The composite momentum score is 57 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Net positive migration: population up 1.5% per year — demand fundamentals are intact.
Scale = optionality: 1,009,833 population gives you airports, hospitals, a deep job market, and a real cultural scene.

Bear case

Cooling: -2.6% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Jacksonville (Wikipedia)

Jacksonville, colloquially nicknamed Jax, is the most populous city proper in the U.S. state of Florida, located on the Atlantic coast of northeastern Florida. It is the county seat of Duval County, with which the city consolidated in 1968. It is the tenth-most populous U.S. city and the largest city in the Southeast, with a population of 949,611 at the 2020 U.S. census. The Jacksonville metropolitan area, at over 1.76 million residents, is the fourth-largest metropolitan area in Florida and 38th-largest in the United States. City-county consolidation greatly increased Jacksonville's official population and extended its boundaries, placing most of Duval County's population within the new municipal limits; Jacksonville grew to 900 square miles. It is the largest city by total area, land and water, in the contiguous United States.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

MayorDonna Deegan
Area874.46 sq mi
Elevation3 ft
Founded1832
Density1270.73/sq mi
Named forAndrew Jackson
Time zoneEastern (EST)

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Duval County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Duval County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Jacksonville

186 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Isle of Palms$776,745+3.1%
2Brown Island$684,368+5.8%
3Miramar$671,149+2.5%
4Ortega$656,171+2.6%
5Fort George Island$646,113-5.4%
6Ortega Forest$632,059+2.9%
7Monclair$610,839+3.8%
8Amelia View$582,654+1.8%
9Beauclerc$579,189+1.9%
10Holiday Harbors$575,830-1.1%
11Deercreek$573,348-3.5%
12North New Berlin$565,202-1.5%
13Black Hammock Island$556,595+7.5%
14Atlantic Highlands$544,227-2.8%
15Mandarin$519,378-1.4%
16San Jose Forest$506,764-3.1%
17Eagle Bend$498,885+0.8%
18Beacon Hills and Harbour$486,632+0.3%
19Girvin$473,080-1.1%
20Golden Glades – The Woods$464,256-0.8%
21Pumpkin Hill$463,822-0.0%
22Julington Creek$455,018-1.1%
23Fort Caroline Shores$453,679+0.5%
24Colony Cove$439,561+2.0%

See the full neighborhood ranking →

Cities like Jacksonville

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
70° / 51°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
90° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
233
~64% of year
Annual precip
54″ rain
0″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very high
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Jacksonville area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Jacksonville listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
76%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$67,900
Florida state median
Top industries (state-level)
TourismHealthcareConstruction

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

Cities similar to Jacksonville

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