Winter Garden, FL — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Florida·Winter Garden

Orange County · Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford · population 48,771

Winter Garden, FL
Image: Wikipedia · Winter Garden, Florida
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
View watchlist →
57
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Winter Garden stands

Home values down 3.2% in the last year.

Median home $570,558
1-year -3.2%
5-yr CAGR +6.6%
vs 5-yr peak -5.1%
Population +0.9%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2024-05$571k$277k$393k$509k$625k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
92/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,386/mo$1,677$2,117$2,557202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent137134100120140202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 19.9
Lean buy

At a 19.9 price-to-rent ratio, Winter Garden is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
34 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
72 · w22%
Distance from peak
60 · w18%
Population growth
64 · w16%
Rent YoY
48 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
73 · w10%
Long thesis

Winter Garden has held up across the cycle: home values at $570,558 with +6.6% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Winter Garden is in a state where home insurance costs have doubled, climate risk repricing is still in progress, and the buyer pool is constrained by both. The bear case writes itself and is currently winning.

About Winter Garden

Winter Garden is a city in Orange County, Florida, with an estimated population of 48,771. It anchors the Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford metro area. The population grew 0.9% annually from 2020 to 2024, a moderate gain. The median home value in Winter Garden is $570,558 as of 2026-04, down 3.2% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +6.6% annual growth (-5.1% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Winter Garden average $2,386 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+0.5%). The composite momentum score is 57 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

●Healthy 5-year run: +6.6% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
○The data is the data: Winter Garden has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

●Cooling: -3.2% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
○Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Winter Garden (Wikipedia)

Winter Garden is a city in western Orange County, Florida, United States. Located 14 miles (23 km) west of Downtown Orlando, it is part of the Orlando metropolitan area. The population was 46,964 as of the 2020 census.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Orange County right now.

NWS active alerts (FL)Florida Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Orange County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Winter Garden

1 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Tildenville$312,639-7.0%

Cities like Winter Garden

Lake Worth Beach, FL60 · StableCooper City, FL62 · RisingRiviera Beach, FL58 · StableWeston, FL57 · Stable

Run the numbers for Winter Garden

ToolCan I afford Winter Garden?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Winter Garden rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Winter Garden to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolWinter Garden cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
70° / 51°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
90° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
233
~64% of year
Annual precip
54″ rain
0″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very high
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Winter Garden listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
76%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$67,900
Florida state median
Top industries (state-level)
TourismHealthcareConstruction

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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