Marco Island, FL — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Florida·Marco Island

Collier County · Naples-Marco Island · population 16,554

Small-town feel
View watchlist →
58
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Marco Island stands

Rents up 5.7% in the last year.

Median home $855,636
1-year -2.3%
5-yr CAGR +6.7%
vs 5-yr peak -13.1%
Population +1.2%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-07$856k$484k$664k$844k$1024k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
15/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
79/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$4,978/mo$4,239$4,767$5,29420242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent9410910020242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 14.3
Buy

At a 14.3 price-to-rent ratio, buying generally beats renting in Marco Island on a long-enough horizon. The headline math is that one year of mortgage payments approximates 14.3 years of rent — well below the 15+ threshold where ownership starts to dominate.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
38 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
73 · w22%
Distance from peak
36 · w18%
Population growth
69 · w16%
Rent YoY
83 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
62 · w10%
Long thesis

Marco Island has held up across the cycle: home values at $855,636 with +6.7% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Marco Island carries a $855,636 median home with only -2.3% YoY. Premium pricing in a flat tape is the bear setup — you're paying for the trend that already ran while new buyers can't afford to extend it.

About Marco Island

Marco Island is a city in Collier County, Florida, with an estimated population of 16,554. It anchors the Naples-Marco Island metro area. The population grew 1.2% annually from 2020 to 2024, a moderate gain. The median home value in Marco Island is $855,636 as of 2026-04, down 2.3% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +6.7% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 13% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Marco Island average $4,978 per month, up 5.7% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 58 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

Bull case

Healthy 5-year run: +6.7% annualized over 5 years, outpacing US inflation.
Net positive migration: population up 1.2% per year — demand fundamentals are intact.
Hot rental market: rents up 5.7% YoY — landlords have pricing power, supports new investment math.

Bear case

Expensive AND not growing: median home $855,636 with only -2.3% YoY. You’re paying premium pricing for a flat trend.
Cooling: -2.3% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
13% off recent peak — buyers are getting through-the-cycle pricing, not the peak.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Collier County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Collier County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Marco Island

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
70° / 51°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
90° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
233
~64% of year
Annual precip
54″ rain
0″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very high
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Marco Island listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Naples-Marco Island area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
76%
Very humid climate
Median household income
$67,900
Florida state median
Top industries (state-level)
TourismHealthcareConstruction

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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