Oak Island, NC — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Brunswick County · Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach · population 9,322

InvestorsGrowing fastSmall-town feel
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79
Hot
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Oak Island stands

At or near all-time high. averaging 8.7% annual growth over 5 years. population growing 2.7% per year.

Median home $572,756
1-year +1.5%
5-yr CAGR +8.7%
vs 5-yr peak +0.0%
Population +2.7%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2026-04$573k$219k$344k$470k$596k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
10/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
63/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 22.5
Lean rent

At a 22.5 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in Oak Island. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
57 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
82 · w22%
Distance from peak
90 · w18%
Population growth
87 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
86 · w10%
Long thesis

Oak Island has been growing population at 2.7% per year while home values compounded +8.7% annually. Demand-driven appreciation — the kind that persists as long as people keep showing up, which they currently are.

Short thesis

Oak Island's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Oak Island

Oak Island is a city in Brunswick County, North Carolina, with an estimated population of 9,322. It anchors the Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach metro area. The population has grown 2.7% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Oak Island is $572,756 as of 2026-04, up 1.5% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +8.7% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Oak Island average $2,123 per month. The composite momentum score is 79 of 100 (Hot). Buyers should expect competition and limited negotiation room in this market.

Bull case

Multi-year compounder: home values up an average 8.7% per year over the last 5 years — sustained, not a one-year pop.
People are voting with their feet: population growing 2.7% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
Held the highs: currently +0.0% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.

Bear case

Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

Playbook

Buyer

Expect competition, escalation clauses, and pressure to waive inspections. Make your strongest offer up front — Hot markets reward decisiveness, not negotiation. If you can't write a clean offer, you may not be the best fit for this market right now.

Seller

Price slightly above recent comps and let multiple offers work. Days-on-market should be short. Don't accept the first offer in the first 48 hours unless it's significantly above ask.

Investor

Cap rates will look ugly in a Hot market — your thesis has to be appreciation, not yield. Don't expect cash flow; expect to ride the trend and exit before it stalls.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Brunswick County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Brunswick County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Oak Island

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
50° / 30°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
88° / 68°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
213
~58% of year
Annual precip
50″ rain
6″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Moderate
Wildfire
Low
Earthquake
Very low
Flood
High

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Oak Island listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
71%
Humid climate
Median household income
$67,500
North Carolina state median
Top industries (state-level)
Banking (Charlotte)Tech (RTP)Manufacturing

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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