Midlothian, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Midlothian

Ellis County · Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington · population 44,104

Growing fast
Midlothian, TX
Image: Wikipedia · Midlothian, Texas
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
View watchlist →
65
Rising
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Midlothian stands

Population growing 5.9% per year.

Median home $454,360
1-year -1.1%
5-yr CAGR +4.3%
vs 5-yr peak -4.2%
Population +5.9%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-08$454k$232k$319k$406k$493k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
95/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$2,207/mo$1,816$2,113$2,409202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent106114100120202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 17.2
Lean buy

At a 17.2 price-to-rent ratio, Midlothian is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
45 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
61 · w22%
Distance from peak
65 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Rent YoY
71 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
69 · w10%
Long thesis

Midlothian has held up across the cycle: home values at $454,360 with +4.3% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Midlothian's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Midlothian

Midlothian is a city in Ellis County, Texas, with an estimated population of 44,104. It anchors the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington metro area. The population has grown 5.9% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Midlothian is $454,360 as of 2026-04, down 1.1% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.3% annual growth (-4.2% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Midlothian average $2,207 per month, up 3.9% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 65 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

▲ Bull case

●People are voting with their feet: population growing 5.9% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
○The data is the data: Midlothian has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

○Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Midlothian (Wikipedia)

Midlothian is a city in northwest Ellis County, Texas, United States. The city is 25 miles (40 km) southwest of Dallas. It is the hub for the cement industry in North Texas, as it is the home to three separate cement production facilities, as well as a steel mill. As of the 2020 census, Midlothian had a population of 35,125.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Ellis County right now.

NWS active alerts (TX)Texas Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Ellis County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Midlothian

15 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Shiloh Forest$724,828-0.3%
2Crystal Forest$627,517-0.1%
3Lawson Farms$435,271-2.3%
4Rosebud$432,277-2.4%
5Hill Crest$391,605-0.7%
6Kensington Park$374,401-1.3%
7Longbranch$361,376-1.4%
8Midlothian Meadows$332,056+1.3%
9Millbrook$327,080-1.1%
10Mockingbird Estates$315,459-1.6%
11Ridgeview$297,445-0.5%
12Park Place East$295,751-2.6%
13Overlook$294,885-1.2%
14Northridge$293,712-2.5%
15Original Town$264,377-2.0%

Cities like Midlothian

Boerne, TX59 · StableWeatherford, TX65 · RisingTomball, TX61 · StableConroe, TX58 · Stable

Run the numbers for Midlothian

ToolCan I afford Midlothian?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Midlothian rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Midlothian to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolMidlothian cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Midlothian listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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