Ceres, CA — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·California·Ceres

Stanislaus County · Modesto · population 49,253

Ceres, CA
Image: Wikipedia · Ceres, California
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
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62
Rising
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Ceres stands

At or near all-time high.

Median home $455,490
1-year -0.0%
5-yr CAGR +3.9%
vs 5-yr peak -0.3%
Population -0.0%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2025-01$455k$220k$305k$390k$475k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
76/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 18.6
Lean buy

At a 18.6 price-to-rent ratio, Ceres is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
50 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
59 · w22%
Distance from peak
88 · w18%
Population growth
45 · w16%
Home 10-yr CAGR
73 · w10%
Long thesis

Ceres has held up across the cycle: home values at $455,490 with +3.9% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Ceres's bear case is the boring one: the cycle is real and any market that's run hard can stall. Watch for slowing population growth, rising days-on-market, or builder discounts as the early warning signals.

About Ceres

Ceres is a city in Stanislaus County, California, with an estimated population of 49,253. It anchors the Modesto metro area. The median home value in Ceres is $455,490 as of 2026-04, down 0.0% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +3.9% annual growth, with prices at or near the 5-year peak. Rents in Ceres average $2,044 per month. The composite momentum score is 62 of 100 (Rising). The market is healthy with prices supported by underlying demand.

▲ Bull case

●Held the highs: currently -0.3% from the 5-year peak — this market refused to give back gains.
○The data is the data: Ceres has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

○Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Ceres (Wikipedia)

Ceres is a city in Stanislaus County, California. Its population was 49,302 at the 2020 U.S. census, up from 45,417 at the 2010 U.S. census. It is part of the Modesto metropolitan statistical area.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

You're not in a frenzy but you're not getting bargains either. Make a competitive offer with normal inspection terms. Don't lowball — the listing will move with or without you.

Seller

Price at fair market value; expect movement in 30-45 days. Don't get clever with terms (rent-back, contingencies) — buyers in a Rising market have options.

Investor

Appreciation tailwind exists but cash flow requires discipline on price. Run the numbers conservatively and confirm rent comps before committing.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Stanislaus County right now.

NWS active alerts (CA)California Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Stanislaus County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Ceres

Atwater, CA64 · RisingRedlands, CA62 · RisingCamarillo, CA58 · StableTurlock, CA57 · Stable

Run the numbers for Ceres

ToolCan I afford Ceres?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Ceres rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Ceres to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolCeres cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 41°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
82° / 60°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
258
~71% of year
Annual precip
22″ rain
8″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
Very high
Earthquake
Very high
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Ceres listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Modesto area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
65%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$91,500
California state median
Top industries (state-level)
TechEntertainmentAgriculture

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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