The Colony, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

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Denton County · Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington · population 45,897

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The Colony, TX
Image: Wikipedia · The Colony, Texas
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
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50
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where The Colony stands

Home values down 4.9% in the last year.

Median home $406,395
1-year -4.9%
5-yr CAGR +4.6%
vs 5-yr peak -6.6%
Population +0.8%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2024-11$406k$209k$290k$371k$452k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
84/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,897/mo$1,423$1,750$2,078202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent125125100120202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 17.9
Lean buy

At a 17.9 price-to-rent ratio, The Colony is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
26 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
63 · w22%
Distance from peak
55 · w18%
Population growth
60 · w16%
Rent YoY
36 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
69 · w10%
Long thesis

The Colony has held up across the cycle: home values at $406,395 with +4.6% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

The Colony is down 4.9% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About The Colony

The Colony is a city in Denton County, Texas, with an estimated population of 45,897. It anchors the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington metro area. The population grew 0.8% annually from 2020 to 2024, a moderate gain. The median home value in The Colony is $406,395 as of 2026-04, down 4.9% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.6% annual growth (-6.6% from the 5-year peak). Rents in The Colony average $1,897 per month, down 1.8% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 50 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

○The data is the data: The Colony has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 1-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

●Cooling: -4.9% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
○Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About The Colony (Wikipedia)

The Colony is a city in Denton County, Texas, United States, and a suburb of Dallas. The population was 44,534 at the 2020 census.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Denton County right now.

NWS active alerts (TX)Texas Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Denton County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of The Colony

7 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Wynnwood Haven Estates$819,201-1.2%
2Tribute$777,634-6.3%
3Stewart Peninsula$506,317-3.0%
4Ridgepointe$474,332-4.4%
5The Legends$468,320-5.2%
6Northpointe$396,374-4.8%
7Garza Lake Estate$324,180-5.3%

Cities like The Colony

Carrollton, TX49 · StableMurphy, TX50 · StableHaltom City, TX51 · StableRowlett, TX54 · Stable

Run the numbers for The Colony

ToolCan I afford The Colony?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a The Colony rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare The Colony to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolThe Colony cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current The Colony listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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