Carrollton, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Carrollton

Denton County · Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington · population 135,456

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Carrollton, TX
Image: Wikipedia · Carrollton, Texas
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
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49
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Carrollton stands

Home values down 4.2% in the last year.

Median home $408,531
1-year -4.2%
5-yr CAGR +4.3%
vs 5-yr peak -6.6%
Population +0.4%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2024-05$409k$218k$297k$376k$455k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
52/100
Somewhat walkable
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
30/100
Minimal transit
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
81/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,536/mo$1,201$1,461$1,721202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent124120100120202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 22.2
Lean rent

At a 22.2 price-to-rent ratio, the math is starting to lean toward renting in Carrollton. Owner-occupier ROI requires longer holds and the assumption that prices keep appreciating roughly at the rate of rent.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
29 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
61 · w22%
Distance from peak
55 · w18%
Population growth
53 · w16%
Rent YoY
37 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
66 · w10%
Long thesis

Carrollton has held up across the cycle: home values at $408,531 with +4.3% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Carrollton is down 4.2% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About Carrollton

Carrollton is a city in Denton County, Texas, with an estimated population of 135,456. It anchors the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington metro area. The median home value in Carrollton is $408,531 as of 2026-04, down 4.2% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.3% annual growth (-6.6% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Carrollton average $1,536 per month, down 1.5% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 49 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

○The data is the data: Carrollton has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 1-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

●Cooling: -4.2% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
○Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Carrollton (Wikipedia)

Carrollton is a city in Dallas, Denton, and Collin counties in the U.S. state of Texas. As of the 2020 census, its population was 133,434, making it the 27th-most populous city in Texas.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

MayorSteve Babick
Area37.43 sq mi
Elevation482 ft
EstablishedJune, 1913
Densityauto/sq mi

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Denton County right now.

NWS active alerts (TX)Texas Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Denton County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Carrollton

45 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Estates in High Country$1,023,157-0.6%
2Austin Waters$802,897-1.1%
3Creekside$762,771-0.2%
4Mustang Park$672,466-2.5%
5Oak Creek Estates$605,260-3.8%
6Homestead$595,448-3.5%
7Indian Springs$584,213-3.3%
8Bel Air of Josey Ranch$579,714-3.3%
9Stone Creek$555,637-1.3%
10Indian Creek$548,336-3.9%
11Villages of Greenway Park$547,950-4.1%
12Parks of Carrollton$538,433-3.0%
13Hunter's Creek$525,587-4.8%
14Cambridge Estates$521,022-4.1%
15Rosemeade Heights$508,932-3.6%
16Highlands$508,374-3.4%
17Nottingham$494,220-4.5%
18Woodgate$490,389-2.9%
19Fairway Vista$481,181-5.0%
20Timbercreek Estates$479,990-2.3%
21Savoy of Josey Ranch$465,567-1.3%
22Woodcreek$461,897-1.8%
23Oak Hills$455,286-5.0%
24Nob Hill$445,469-1.1%

See the full neighborhood ranking →

Cities like Carrollton

Mesquite, TX47 · CoolingThe Colony, TX50 · StableGarland, TX48 · StableLancaster, TX50 · Stable

Run the numbers for Carrollton

ToolCan I afford Carrollton?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Carrollton rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Carrollton to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolCarrollton cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Carrollton listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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