Paradise, CA — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

Butte County · Chico · population 9,114

Bargain huntersGrowing fastSmall-town feel
View watchlist →
35
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Paradise stands

27% off 5-year peak. home values down 3.6% in the last year. population growing 17.6% per year.

Median home $335,197
1-year -3.6%
5-yr CAGR -6.1%
vs 5-yr peak -27.0%
Population +17.6%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2019-06$335k$0k$231k$461k$692k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
10/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
52/100
Workable for remote workers
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,646/mo$0$888$1,77520242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent961068010020242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 17.0
Lean buy

At a 17.0 price-to-rent ratio, Paradise is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
32 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
5 · w22%
Distance from peak
14 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Rent YoY
58 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
25 · w10%
Long thesis

Paradise has held up across the cycle: home values at $335,197 with -6.1% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Paradise has given back 27% from its 5-year peak — that's not a healthy correction, it's a market still digesting an overshoot. The bear case is that the floor hasn't been found yet.

About Paradise

Paradise is a city in Butte County, California, with an estimated population of 9,114. It anchors the Chico metro area. The population has grown 17.6% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Paradise is $335,197 as of 2026-04, down 3.6% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged -6.1% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 27% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Paradise average $1,646 per month, roughly flat year-over-year (+1.9%). The composite momentum score is 35 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

Bull case

People are voting with their feet: population growing 17.6% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
The data is the data: Paradise has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

27% off the 5-year peak. That’s not a healthy correction — that’s a market that ran too far and is still digesting.
Cooling: -3.6% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it. Paradise is currently 27% off its 5-year peak — historically, that's been the discount tier of this market.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Butte County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Butte County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Paradise

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 41°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
82° / 60°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
258
~71% of year
Annual precip
22″ rain
8″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
Very low
Tornado
Very low
Wildfire
Very high
Earthquake
Very high
Flood
Moderate

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Paradise listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Chico area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
65%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$91,500
California state median
Top industries (state-level)
TechEntertainmentAgriculture

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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