Austin, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Austin

Travis County · Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown · population 993,588

Bargain huntersRenter-friendlyBig-city amenities
Austin, TX
Image: Wikipedia · Austin, Texas
View watchlist →
34
Cooling
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Austin stands

26% off 5-year peak. home values down 5.7% in the last year.

Median home $511,264
1-year -5.7%
5-yr CAGR -0.4%
vs 5-yr peak -26.2%
Population +0.8%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-06$511k$320k$453k$587k$720k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
52/100
Somewhat walkable
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
42/100
Some transit
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
69/100
Strong remote-work fit
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,567/mo$1,353$1,633$1,913202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent98109100120202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 27.2
Rent

At a 27.2 price-to-rent ratio, renting beats buying in Austin for most shorter holds. The premium you pay to own would take many years of rent savings to recoup, and that's before maintenance, taxes, and opportunity cost on the down payment.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
22 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
33 · w22%
Distance from peak
15 · w18%
Population growth
61 · w16%
Rent YoY
32 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
54 · w10%
Long thesis

Austin has held up across the cycle: home values at $511,264 with -0.4% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Austin has given back 26% from its 5-year peak — that's not a healthy correction, it's a market still digesting an overshoot. The bear case is that the floor hasn't been found yet.

About Austin

Austin is a city in Travis County, Texas, with an estimated population of 993,588. It anchors the Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown metro area. The population grew 0.8% annually from 2020 to 2024, a moderate gain. The median home value in Austin is $511,264 as of 2026-04, down 5.7% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged -0.4% annual growth, and the market currently sits about 26% below its 5-year peak. Rents in Austin average $1,567 per month, down 2.5% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 34 of 100 (Cooling). Buyers may find more room to negotiate; sellers should price realistically.

Bull case

Scale = optionality: 993,588 population gives you airports, hospitals, a deep job market, and a real cultural scene.
The data is the data: Austin has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

Bear case

Prices actively falling: down 5.7% in the last 12 months — buyer sentiment has flipped. Sellers competing on price.
26% off the 5-year peak. That’s not a healthy correction — that’s a market that ran too far and is still digesting.

About Austin (Wikipedia)

Austin is the capital city of the U.S. state of Texas. With a population of 961,855 at the 2020 census, it is the 12th-most populous city in the U.S., fifth-most populous city in Texas, and second-most populous U.S. state capital, while the Austin metro area with an estimated 2.55 million residents is the 25th-largest metropolitan area in the nation. Austin is the county seat and most populous city of Travis County, with portions extending into Hays and Williamson counties. Incorporated on December 27, 1839, it has been one of the fastest-growing large cities in the United States since 2010.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

MayorKirk Watson
Area326.51 sq mi
Elevation607 ft
MottoKeep Austin Weird (unofficial)
Density3006.36/sq mi
Named forStephen F. Austin

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Playbook

Buyer

You have leverage. Negotiate price, ask for closing-cost credits, and don't waive inspection. Walk-away power is real in a Cooling market — use it. Austin is currently 26% off its 5-year peak — historically, that's been the discount tier of this market.

Seller

Price aggressively (at or below recent sold comps) or be prepared to wait. Concessions — rate buydowns, closing costs, repair credits — are how deals close right now.

Investor

Cap rates are more attractive than they were 12 months ago but the appreciation tailwind is gone. Confirm tenant demand, vacancy rates, and exit liquidity before committing capital.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Travis County right now.

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Travis County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Austin

66 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Barton Creek$2,265,260+2.7%
2Windsor Road$2,178,846+3.9%
3Bryker Woods$1,247,771+0.9%
4Old Enfield$1,194,219-1.5%
5Old West Austin$917,676+1.8%
6Zilker$896,956-4.4%
7Barton Hills$885,181-3.4%
8Rosedale$859,700-2.6%
9Bouldin Creek$830,481-4.5%
10South River City$815,880-3.1%
11Allandale$811,070-0.6%
12Mueller$720,437-1.1%
13Hyde Park$715,856-4.2%
14East Oak Hill$696,202-1.0%
15Shady Hollow$693,506-3.4%
16Galindo$640,719-7.3%
17Downtown$628,812-3.1%
18East Cesar Chavez$615,173-4.2%
19West Oak Hill$611,341-4.1%
20Brentwood$602,683-4.8%
21Crestview$602,209-6.1%
22Dawson$593,925-6.3%
23Upper Boggy Creek$592,471-2.2%
24Westgate$591,944-2.9%

See the full neighborhood ranking →

Cities like Austin

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Austin listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

Cities similar to Austin

Explore other places with comparable momentum or affordability.

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