Denton, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Denton

Denton County · Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington · population 165,998

Growing fastRenter-friendly
Denton, TX
Image: Wikipedia · Denton, Texas
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
View watchlist →
51
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Denton stands

Home values down 4.2% in the last year. population growing 4.4% per year.

Median home $354,100
1-year -4.2%
5-yr CAGR +3.8%
vs 5-yr peak -9.7%
Population +4.4%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2022-08$354k$188k$261k$335k$408k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
25/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
30/100
Minimal transit
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
93/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,478/mo$1,181$1,410$1,638202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent120118100120202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 20.0
Lean buy

At a 20.0 price-to-rent ratio, Denton is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
29 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
58 · w22%
Distance from peak
46 · w18%
Population growth
90 · w16%
Rent YoY
25 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
66 · w10%
Long thesis

Denton has held up across the cycle: home values at $354,100 with +3.8% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Denton is down 4.2% over the last 12 months and the trend isn't flattening. Falling knife rule applies: you don't catch one with your hands, you wait for it to hit the floor and stop moving.

About Denton

Denton is a city in Denton County, Texas, with an estimated population of 165,998. It anchors the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington metro area. The population has grown 4.4% per year on average between 2020 and 2024 — among the faster-growing communities in the state. The median home value in Denton is $354,100 as of 2026-04, down 4.2% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +3.8% annual growth (-9.7% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Denton average $1,478 per month, down 4.0% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 51 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

●People are voting with their feet: population growing 4.4% per year since 2020 — that’s faster than ~80% of US cities.
○The data is the data: Denton has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 2-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

●Cooling: -4.2% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
○Local nuance: city-level data smooths over neighborhood differences. School zones, HOA rules, and street-level character matter — visit before deciding.

About Denton (Wikipedia)

Denton is a city in the U.S. state of Texas and the county seat of Denton County. With a population of 139,869 as of 2020, it is the 20th-most populous city in Texas, the 177th-most populous city in the United States, and the 10th-most populous city in the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

City facts

MayorSara Hensley
Area97.95 sq mi
Elevation659 ft
Established1866
Density1451.68/sq mi

Extracted from the Wikipedia infobox. Values may be slightly out of date relative to the latest sources.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Denton County right now.

NWS active alerts (TX)Texas Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Denton County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Neighborhoods of Denton

40 tracked · ranked by median home value
1Hills of Argyle- Happy Acres$984,596-2.1%
2Lakeview Ranch$744,808-1.4%
3Robson Ranch$574,226-0.7%
4Forrestridge$511,468-3.2%
5Robinson Oaks$455,905-5.2%
6Southridge$450,160-2.5%
7Oaks of Montecito$442,997-4.5%
8Chaucer Estates$428,188-2.8%
9Lexington Park$403,081-4.5%
10Oakmont$398,690-5.6%
11Country Lakes Estates$398,098-5.5%
12Wind River Estates$387,929-3.5%
13Ryan Ranch Estates$384,590-3.1%
14Sundown Ranch$381,895-3.3%
15Teasley Harbor$376,931-3.8%
16Pecan Creek$374,183-4.4%
17Hickory Creek Ranch$358,059-3.6%
18Hickory Creek$357,840-4.4%
19River Oaks$342,985-3.6%
20Idiot's Hill$341,489-2.9%
21Beverly Park$335,463-2.7%
22Summit Oaks$334,476-4.6%
23Wheeler Ridge$333,042-5.3%
24West Oak Historic District$330,833+3.9%

See the full neighborhood ranking →

Cities like Denton

Lewisville, TX54 · StableCleburne, TX58 · StableGreenville, TX59 · StableSachse, TX55 · Stable

Run the numbers for Denton

ToolCan I afford Denton?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Denton rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Denton to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolDenton cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Denton listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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