Duncanville, TX — Momentum Score, Home Values & Best-For

All states·Texas·Duncanville

Dallas County · Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington · population 39,203

First-time buyersShrinkingRenter-friendly
Duncanville, TX
Image: Wikipedia · Duncanville, Texas
OverviewCost of livingMoving guide
View watchlist →
50
Stable
Momentum score · 0–100

Where Duncanville stands

Population shrinking 0.9% per year.

Median home $280,562
1-year -2.1%
5-yr CAGR +4.2%
vs 5-yr peak -4.5%
Population -0.9%/yr

Home value trajectory · last 10 years

Zillow ZHVI · monthly
peak 2024-05$281k$125k$185k$245k$305k201620182020202220242026

Lifestyle scores

🚶
Walkability
32/100
Very car-dependent
Estimated from population density. Higher = denser, more amenities within walking distance.
🚉
Public transit
22/100
Transit limited
Curated list of major US transit systems + population-based estimate. Higher = real subway/rail/bus options.
💻
Remote work fit
81/100
Excellent for remote work
Composite of city size, housing cost, state tax structure, and region's remote-work track record.

Scores are heuristic estimates from population density, state, and known transit/walkable cities. Not based on a paid Walk Score / Transit Score API — see methodology for the formula.

Rent trajectory · last 5 years

Zillow ZORI · monthly
$1,558/mo$0$848$1,696202220242026

Home value vs rent · indexed to 100

Both rebased at first month of ZORI data (~2015)
Home valueRent11211580100120202220242026

Rent vs buy

Price-to-rent ratio: 15.0
Lean buy

At a 15.0 price-to-rent ratio, Duncanville is in the 'depends on horizon' zone. Buy if you'll be there 5+ years and value flexibility on the home; rent if you might move, want zero maintenance friction, or expect rates to drop.

How the momentum score breaks down

methodology →
Home YoY
39 · w22%
Home 5-yr CAGR
60 · w22%
Distance from peak
63 · w18%
Population growth
31 · w16%
Rent YoY
36 · w12%
Home 10-yr CAGR
79 · w10%
Long thesis

Duncanville has held up across the cycle: home values at $280,562 with +4.2% 5-year CAGR. The bull case is structural — population, location, employer base — and holds even if next year's print is soft.

Short thesis

Duncanville's population is shrinking 0.9% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — if people are leaving, the buyer pool is shrinking faster than the inventory. That eventually shows up in price.

About Duncanville

Duncanville is a city in Dallas County, Texas, with an estimated population of 39,203. It anchors the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington metro area. The population has contracted 0.9% per year on average since 2020. The median home value in Duncanville is $280,562 as of 2026-04, down 2.1% over the last 12 months. Over the last five years, home values have averaged +4.2% annual growth (-4.5% from the 5-year peak). Rents in Duncanville average $1,558 per month, down 1.7% year-over-year. The composite momentum score is 50 of 100 (Stable). Conditions are neither hot nor cold, so the local fit matters more than market timing.

▲ Bull case

○The data is the data: Duncanville has at least 5 years of Zillow tracking, full Census identification, and is included in the 1-criteria momentum score on this page.

▼ Bear case

●Cooling: -2.1% over the trailing year — momentum has stalled.
●Flat or shrinking population: -0.9% per year. Housing demand has to come from somewhere — verify the source.

About Duncanville (Wikipedia)

Duncanville is a city in southwestern Dallas County, Texas, United States. Duncanville's population was 40,706 at the 2020 census. The city is part of the Best Southwest area, which includes Duncanville, Cedar Hill, DeSoto, and Lancaster.

Source: Wikipedia · this summary is contributed and licensed under CC-BY-SA.

Playbook

Buyer

Lifestyle fit matters more than market timing in a Stable market. Take your time on the home and neighborhood; the macro trend isn't urgent. Negotiate normally.

Seller

Price competitively from day one or risk a 60+ day listing. Staging, photography, and presentation matter more in Stable markets than in Hot ones.

Investor

Stable cap rates, no big appreciation story to lean on. Underwrite this as a pure cash-flow play — the math has to work on rent alone.

Local safety & alerts

No active National Weather Service alerts for Dallas County right now.

NWS active alerts (TX)Texas Emergency ManagementHow to prepare (NWS)

Public-safety links are official .gov sources, not curated by us. Dallas County routes NWS alerts; check the state EM portal for non-weather emergencies.

Cities like Duncanville

Euless, TX56 · StableHumble, TX51 · StableCedar Hill, TX50 · StableWatauga, TX53 · Stable

Run the numbers for Duncanville

ToolCan I afford Duncanville?Income → city shortlistToolROI on a Duncanville rentalCap rate, cash-on-cash, DSCRToolCompare Duncanville to anywhereSide-by-side up to 3 citiesToolDuncanville cost-of-livingEquivalent income elsewhere

Sources: Zillow ZHVI (home values), Zillow ZORI (rents), US Census ACS + place population. Updated when source agencies publish revisions.

Climate & natural-disaster risk

Winter (Jan)
60° / 39°
avg high / low
Summer (Jul)
95° / 73°
avg high / low
Sunny days/yr
232
~64% of year
Annual precip
29″ rain
1″ snow
Disaster risk (1=very low, 5=very high)
Hurricane
High
Tornado
Very high
Wildfire
Moderate
Earthquake
Low
Flood
Very high

State-level averages from NOAA Climate Normals (1991-2020) and FEMA National Risk Index. City-level conditions can vary significantly within a state.

Local sports teams

Major professional teams the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington area cheers for. Detailed stats, schedules, and player pages on intherafters.com.

Current weather

Loading current conditions…

7-day forecast on weather.gov →

Find rentals & listings

Open current Duncanville listings on the major real-estate sites.

Links open the live search on the destination site — results are always current.

Local news & community

Updated 2026-05-21 from Google News + Reddit RSS. Headlines link to original sources.

Local economy & environment

Humidity
64%
Moderate climate
Median household income
$73,000
Texas state median
Top industries (state-level)
Energy/Oil & GasTech (Austin)Healthcare

Humidity is annual average relative humidity (NOAA). Income is Census ACS 5-year estimate. Industries are largest employment sectors statewide (BLS); the local mix in a given city may vary.

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